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Transfer risk

How Injury History Changes Transfer Risk

Availability is part of value: clubs pay not only for peak quality, but for how often that quality can actually appear.

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Injury history does not erase talent, but it changes how clubs price risk. A brilliant player who misses long stretches forces buyers to ask how many matches they can realistically expect.

The type of injury matters. Repeated muscle problems, major knee injuries, and recurring setbacks are read differently from one isolated absence that healed cleanly.

Medical departments also consider playing style. High-speed wingers, pressing forwards, and explosive full-backs rely on repeat sprints, so availability patterns can affect their valuation strongly.

A good return season can rebuild trust. Consistent minutes, managed workload, and strong performance after recovery help the market separate temporary injury noise from long-term concern.

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